November 2, 2024

Snowpack Melt Trend Signals Impending Summer Water Crisis in Western Regions

” On average and in every mountainous area that we took a look at, snow melt is taking place more detailed in time to when it fell,” said Kate Hale, lead author of the research study and a 2022 location graduate. “The timing of water availability is moving toward previously in the springtime, with less snow melt and water schedule later on in the summer, suggesting that there will be water shortage later on in the year.”
From CU-Boulders snow study this past May 2022. Collecting snow measurements near the Continental Divide in the Front Range, CO. Credit: Kate Hale
Timing is everything
The Western U.S. and Canada depend upon snow for the majority of their water. The Rocky Mountains, Sierra Nevadas and other range of mountains have actually long worked as, essentially, water towers for the area: They store snow throughout the winter, which then melts and appears as water in spring and summer, when demand is biggest.
Every year on April 1, state and regional water supervisors use a metric referred to as snow water equivalent (SWE)– just how much water will be produced when an amount of snow melts– to prepare and predict for water resources that year, stated Hale, now a postdoctoral researcher at University of Vermont.
That April 1 picture is precisely that: one minute in time. It doesnt reveal if that snow slowly accumulated over the previous 6 months, if everything fell in one giant stack on March 31, or if it was already melting.
92% of mountainous western North America has revealed a decrease in Snow Storage Index from 1950-2013. This indicates a decrease in the capability of these regions to act as water towers for the surrounding area. Credit: Kate Hale
” From a hydrologic perspective, the only thing thats distinct about snow is that it postpones the timing of water input to watersheds. And just taking a look at a picture of snow water equivalent doesnt offer you a sense as to for how long that snow water equivalent has been on the ground,” said Noah Molotch, associate teacher of location and fellow at the Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research (INSTAAR) at CU Boulder.
Hale used two publicly available data sources to develop a brand-new measurement understood as Snow Storage Index (SSI) that includes the timing and amount of snowfall, as well as snowmelt, before and after April 1. In contrast to the singular minute in time recorded by SWE, Hales SSI shows a metaphorical video: including into one number, the time in between when rain or snow falls on a landscape in the winter season and when it appears to that location as surface area water.
The research study evaluated more than 60 years of snowpack water storage data, noting a considerable decline in over 25% of the Mountain West from 1950 to 2013. This is partially due to snow melting previously in winter and spring, causing water schedule to move to previously in the spring, recommending possible water scarcity later on in the year. Credit: Kate Hale
” The snow storage index permits us to take a look at snow water storage, not just in the context of how much is there at any provided time, but the period of that storage on the ground,” stated Molotch.
This enabled the researchers to evaluate how well each mountainous region of the West has functioned as a water tower over the past 60 years and discover that their efficiency has actually been decreasing throughout the board.
Managing water now and for the future
A “high” SSI– a number as close to 1.0 as possible– was found in places where snowfall is very seasonal. In the Cascades, for example, snow accumulates in the fall and winter season, and is kept up to 6 months before melting rather continually in the spring and summertime. Here in Colorados Rocky Mountains, nevertheless, the SSI is lower– somewhere between 0 and 0.5– which implies that snow both melts and builds up throughout the chillier half of the year.
Due to the fact that the Rockies and the Front Range are currently utilized to this alternating pattern of snowfall and snowmelt throughout winter season and spring seasons, as an area it may adjust much easier to comparable patterns of decreased snowpack water storage associated with international warming. The mountain regions near the West Coast that are extremely dependent on snowpack meltwater in the spring and summer, nevertheless, may be in for an unpleasant modification when that water melts previously in the year– and is merely no longer offered come late summertime.
The scientists established a new measurement called the Snow Storage Index (SSI) to assess the timing and amount of snowfall and snowmelt. The results revealed a declining performance of the areas natural water towers, underscoring the value of much better water resource management in the face of international warming. Credit: Kate Hale
The researchers hope that this new measurement can function as a tool for scientists and water resource supervisors to make better predictions and, when needed, plan ahead for less.
Half a century earlier, an era of dam building in the Western United States enabled the region to flourish in regards to access to water for cities and for farming, said Molotch. As these “water towers” melt away, so too might the reservoirs they filled.
” The snowpack is deteriorating and vanishing before our eyes. Thats going to present challenges in terms of handling the facilities thats enabled the Western United States to flourish over the last 100 years,” stated Molotch.
Reference: “Recent decreases in snow water storage in western North America” 22 May 2023, Nature Communications Earth & & Environment.DOI: 10.1038/ s43247-023-00751-3.
Extra authors on this publication consist of: Keith Jennings, Lynker, Boulder, Colorado; Keith Musselman, Department of Geography and the Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research (INSTAAR), CU Boulder; and Ben Livneh, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES) and the Department of Civil, Environmental, and Architectural Engineering, CU Boulder.

A research study from the University of Colorado Boulder reveals that climate modification is triggering earlier snowmelt and increased rainfall in the mountain varieties of Western U.S. and Canada, leading to a decrease in snowpack water storage. Researchers have actually introduced a new Snow Storage Index (SSI) to help manage water resources more efficiently in the middle of worldwide warming.
The research study examined more than 60 years of snowpack water storage data, keeping in mind a significant decline in over 25% of the Mountain West from 1950 to 2013. This is partially due to snow melting previously in winter season and spring, causing water availability to move to previously in the spring, suggesting possible water scarcity later in the year. The results showed a decreasing performance of the areas natural water towers, highlighting the value of much better water resource management in the face of global warming.

A brand-new research study from the University of Colorado Boulder released in Nature Communications Earth & & Environment has exposed that climate modification is triggering snow in the mountain varieties of the Western U.S. and Canada to melt earlier, with more rainfall falling as rain instead of snow. This leads to a decrease in snowpack water storage, which could potentially impact agriculture, increase wildfire risk, and disrupt local water products in the summer. Credit: Kate Hale
A research study from the University of Colorado Boulder exposes that climate change is causing earlier snowmelt and increased rains in the mountain ranges of Western U.S. and Canada, causing a decrease in snowpack water storage. This shift might affect farming, wildfire risk, and municipal water supplies. Over 60 years, more than 25% of the Mountain West saw a considerable decline in snowpack water storage. Scientists have presented a new Snow Storage Index (SSI) to assist handle water resources more efficiently in the middle of global warming.
Snow is melting previously, and more rain is falling instead of snow in the range of mountains of the Western U.S. and Canada, causing a leaner snowpack that could impact agriculture, wildfire danger, and municipal water products come summer, according to a new study from the University of Colorado Boulder.
Released today (May 22) in Nature Communications Earth & & Environment, the research study documents more than 60 years of modification in snowpack water storage across Western North America. It found that from 1950 to 2013, snowpack water storage has significantly declined in more than 25% of the Mountain West, in part because more snow is melting during winter and spring, deteriorating this seasonal boundary.