December 23, 2024

A Sea of Change: Climate Change Is Shifting Our Oceans From Blue to Green

July 2002– June 2022
Two decades of satellite measurements show that the sea surface area is shading toward green.
The deep-blue sea is turning a touch greener. While that might not appear as consequential as, say, record warm sea surface temperature levels, the color of the ocean surface area is a sign of the ecosystem that lies below. Communities of phytoplankton, microscopic photosynthesizing organisms, are plentiful in near-surface waters and are fundamental to the water food web and carbon cycle. This shift in the waters hue verifies a trend anticipated under environment change and signals changes [1] to ecosystems within the worldwide ocean, which covers 70 percent of Earths surface.
Key Findings from Recent Research
After analyzing ocean color information from the MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) instrument on NASAs Aqua satellite, they discovered that much of the modification stems from the ocean turning more green.

The map above highlights the locations where ocean surface color changed in between 2002 and 2022, with darker shades of green representing more substantial differences (greater signal-to-noise ratio). By extension, stated Cael, “these are locations we can identify a modification in the ocean ecosystem in the last 20 years.” The research study concentrated on tropical and subtropical regions, excluding greater latitudes, which are dark for part of the year, and coastal waters, where the information are naturally really noisy.
The Significance of Chlorophyll Changes
The black dots on the map show the area, covering 12 percent of the oceans surface area, where chlorophyll levels likewise changed over the research study duration. The values revealed in green are based on the entire gamut of colors and therefore capture more info about the environment as a whole.
A Unique Opportunity to Study Ocean Trends
As the Aqua satellite was celebrating its 20th year in orbit in 2022– far surpassing its design life of 6 years– Cael wondered what long-lasting trends could be discovered in the information. In specific, he was curious what might have been missed in all the ocean color info it had actually gathered.
By going huge with the information, the team recognized an ocean color trend that had been forecasted [3] by environment modeling, but one that was anticipated to take 30-40 years of data to find utilizing satellite-based chlorophyll estimates. Thats since the natural variability in chlorophyll is high relative to the climate change pattern. The new method, incorporating all noticeable light, was robust adequate to confirm the trend in 20 years.
NASAs PACE (Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud, ocean Ecosystem) spacecraft in orbit over Earth. Credit: NASA GSFC
Possible Explanations and Future Projections
At this stage, it is hard to say what precise environmental changes are accountable for the brand-new hues. Nevertheless, the authors presume, that they might arise from various assemblages of plankton, more detrital particles, or other organisms such as zooplankton. It is not likely the color modifications originate from materials such as plastics or other pollutants, stated Cael, because they are not prevalent enough to sign up at large scales.
” What we do know is that in the last 20 years, the ocean has actually ended up being more stratified,” he stated. This situation would favor plankton adjusted to a nutrient-poor environment. The areas of ocean color modification line up well with where the sea has actually become more stratified, stated Cael, however there is no such overlap with sea surface temperature changes.
More insights into Earths marine communities might quickly be on the method. NASAs PACE (Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud, ocean Ecosystem) satellite, set to release in 2024, will return observations in finer color resolution. The new data will make it possible for scientists to infer more information about ocean ecology, such as the variety of phytoplankton types and the rates of phytoplankton growth.
NASA Earth Observatory image by Wanmei Liang, using data from Cael, B. B., et al. (2023 ).
Referrals:

” Abrupt shifts in 21st-century plankton neighborhoods” by B. B. Cael, Stephanie Dutkiewicz and Stephanie Henson, 29 October 2021, Science Advances.DOI: 10.1126/ sciadv.abf8593.
” Global climate-change trends discovered in indicators of ocean ecology” by B. B. Cael, Kelsey Bisson, Emmanuel Boss, Stephanie Dutkiewicz and Stephanie Henson, 12 July 2023, Nature.DOI: 10.1038/ s41586-023-06321-z.
” Detection of anthropogenic climate change in satellite records of ocean chlorophyll and performance” by S. A. Henson, J. L. Sarmiento, J. P. Dunne, L. Bopp, I. Lima, S. C. Doney, J. John and C. Beaulieu, 15 February 2010, Biogeosciences.DOI: 10.5194/ bg-7-621-2010.
” Increasing ocean stratification over the past half-century” by Guancheng Li, Lijing Cheng, Jiang Zhu, Kevin E. Trenberth, Michael E. Mann and John P. Abraham, 28 September 2020, Nature Climate Change.DOI: 10.1038/ s41558-020-00918-2.

While that might not appear as substantial as, say, record warm sea surface temperatures, the color of the ocean surface area is indicative of the ecosystem that lies below. After evaluating ocean color information from the MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) instrument on NASAs Aqua satellite, they found that much of the modification stems from the ocean turning more green.

The map above highlights the areas where ocean surface area color changed in between 2002 and 2022, with darker shades of green representing more significant distinctions (higher signal-to-noise ratio). The black dots on the map indicate the location, covering 12 percent of the oceans surface area, where chlorophyll levels likewise changed over the research study duration. The areas of ocean color change line up well with where the sea has ended up being more stratified, said Cael, but there is no such overlap with sea surface temperature level modifications.