April 27, 2024

How New COVID-19 Variants Emerge: Natural Selection and the Evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 Virus

New variants of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, occur through anomalies when the infection reproduces in an infected hosts cells. Credit: NIAID
Nature is analog. It is not a binary system. In the living world there are no specific switches that discreetly turn systems on or off. Rather, nature changes systems through analog dials, like an old radio– gradually altering variables to accomplish balance and stability to make sure that life is sustainable and carries on.
Development profits in this method, with brand-new life types appearing and some vanishing over centuries– or, in the case of microbial pathogens (viruses, bacteria and parasites) over days or weeks.
Evolutionary modification results from 2 opposing forces: Positive choice replicates beneficial genetic variations that allow the virus to endure, while negative selection pressure prevents the viruss survival and capability to recreate.

Development can be studied at the molecular level. For several years, my research study was concentrated on the African trypanosome, the parasite accountable for African sleeping sickness.
Antigenic variation
Trypanosomes live in the blood stream of its mammalian hosts (including human beings) and early observations of their numbers revealed a constant wave-like pattern of boosts followed by declining numbers and after that, after a week or so, increasing numbers again.
Growth Curve of African trypanosomiasis in an Infected Human. A Case of Sleeping Sickness revealing Regular Periodical Increase of the Parasites Disclosed.
Trypanosomes are susceptible to the antibodies produced by their hosts immune system, which bind to the parasite and remove it. This immune action triggers the trypanosome numbers to drop, as illustrated by the low points of the wave pattern. Prior to the trypanosomes disappear entirely, their numbers increase again and the wave repeats.
This appealing growth pattern generated much interest and research in my lab and, eventually, we discovered that the parasite can change its molecular identity to avert the hosts antibodies prior to it is entirely gotten rid of. This indicates that the population of trypanosomes accountable for each of the wave peaks is an alternative unique from all the others. Antibodies directed against one variation have no effect on subsequent versions, so the wave pattern continues.
The trypanosomes extremely successful technique developed to help it endure in the face of continuous negative selection pressure from antibodies. This mechanism that helps a parasite or pathogen avert the hosts immune system is called antigenic variation.
COVID-19s waves are comparable to sleeping sickness
When looking at the pattern of Canadian case counts from the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, I am advised of the growth curve of trypanosomes.
Case counts of COVID-19 in Canada considering that January 25, 2020. Credit: N. Little. COVID-19 Tracker Canada (2020 )
The peaks in cases reflect the arrival of brand-new versions, the most current of which is omicron, the variant now circulating most commonly globally.
The method used by SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, resembles the trypanosomes, although the system for generating unique variations is rather different. For the infection, brand-new variations arise by mutation in genes that encode the so-called “spike protein,” the part of the virus that allows it to enter cells and contaminate individuals.
Anomalies arise due to “mistakes” that occur when the infection is duplicating itself in the cells of the hosts breathing system. Because the infection has a system that can attempt to fix the “errors,” SARS-CoV-2 progresses more gradually than the trypanosome. It develops more slowly due to the fact that the infection has a system that can try to repair the “errors.” However, this repair procedure is not perfect, and some anomalies get retained.
We will see a new variant appearing if mutations result in a spike protein unique from any other alternative preceding it. The omicron variation is especially interesting (and somewhat threatening) since of its high number of anomalies, not only in the spike protein but in other viral genes.
The red forecasts seen on the exterior of the SARS-CoV-2 virus are spike proteins, which allow the virus to attach to and contaminate host cells, and after that replicate. Credit: NIAID
By employing this method of antigenic variation, the survival of the SARS-CoV-2 infection is guaranteed. The appearance of new variations is due to mutations that represent the positive choice force: hereditary variations that assist the organism get reproduced.
The decline of case numbers during a pandemic is because of unfavorable choice forces. These include efficient public health interventions that limit the spread from a single person to the next (such as masks), as well as the hosts immune response (antibodies) resulting from either infection, vaccination or both.
A contaminated individual will, with time, create antibodies against the infection and begin to eliminate that variation, like in the trypanosome case. But because SARS-CoV-2 anomalies happen gradually, the infection needs to discover a brand-new, non-immune individual to continue. In order to discover new non-immune hosts, the infection causes signs that assist it to spread out: the sneezing and coughing that allow it to leap from a single person to the next via droplets.
Antibodies and health problem
Offered the capacity of SARS-CoV-2 to alter, there are certainly brand-new variants occurring continuously. If medical and public health interventions are effective in decreasing transmission in between infected and uninfected/unvaccinated individuals, it is rather possible that the virus will progress to generate a less virulent variation that might develop itself as an endemic infection producing mild symptoms.
When individuals contaminated with a pathogenic microbe experience symptoms of health problem, those signs frequently serve a purpose: they can contribute to either the microbes survival or the survival of the contaminated host. A classic case is diarrhea resulting from infection with cholera or from amoebic dysentery. Both infections produce deadly diarrhea, but the sign serves various functions in each illness.
Transmission electron micrograph of alpha variant SARS-CoV-2 infection particles. Credit: NIAID
In the case of cholera, this sign serves the microorganism because it allows the bacteria to leave the hosts body and, in places with poor sanitation, contaminate the water system and send to new hosts. In the case of amoebic dysentery, the sign is an outcome of the hosts body attempting to rid itself of the infection.
Clinicians should have the ability to identify between these 2 situations in the management of transmittable diseases in order to prevent contributing to the problem instead of resolving it. When it comes to COVID-19, medical symptoms like coughing and sneezing that allow the infection to spread through the air are favorably choosing variants that assist the infection infect new, susceptible people (such as unvaccinated individuals).
That implies measures like masking, social distancing, and vaccination can hamper spread out by helping to prevent aerosol transmission.
Continued efforts to accomplish a totally vaccinated population are essential. The unvaccinated and the uninfected are ideal hosts for SARS-CoV-2, and suitable for creating brand-new variants due to the lack of negative choice by antibodies, that makes it easier for the infection to replicate and produce brand-new mutations.
Although nature may move gradually in an analog manner, human beings can flip binary switches and we can act now to ensure worldwide vaccine equity. Making sure international vaccine coverage is not just imperative from an evolutionary perspective however is clearly the ethical choice.
Composed by Michael Clarke, Adjunct Professor, Interfaculty Program in Public Health, Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, Western University.
This article was very first released in The Conversation.

Anomalies emerge due to “errors” that happen when the infection is reproducing itself in the cells of the hosts breathing system. Since the infection has a system that can try to fix the “mistakes,” SARS-CoV-2 evolves more gradually than the trypanosome. A contaminated person will, over time, create antibodies versus the infection and start to eliminate that variant, like in the trypanosome case. Due to the fact that SARS-CoV-2 mutations happen slowly, the infection needs to discover a new, non-immune person to bring on. In order to discover brand-new non-immune hosts, the infection induces signs that assist it to spread out: the coughing and sneezing that allow it to leap from one person to the next by means of droplets.