May 3, 2024

Cambridge Research Shows Potential for 80% Reduction in Carbon Emissions From Fertilizers by 2050

” Our work gives us an excellent concept of whats technically possible, and where interventions would be significant– its important that we intend interventions at what matters the most, in order to make fast and meaningful development in minimizing emissions.”– André Cabrera Serrenho

The Cambridge scientists state that a mix of scalable technological and policy solutions is needed to minimize fertilizer emissions while keeping food security.” In order to reduce emissions, its important for us to determine and prioritize any interventions we can make to make fertilizers less harmful to the environment,” stated Serrenho. The single most effective way to lower fertilizer-associated emissions, nevertheless, would be to minimize the amount of fertilizers that we use. If we used fertilizer more efficiently, we would require considerably less fertilizer, which would decrease emissions without impacting crop performance.”
The scientists say that replacing some of the fertilizers with the greatest emissions, such as urea, with ammonium nitrate around the world might even more decrease emissions by in between 20% and 30%.

Carbon emissions from fertilizers urgently need to be reduced; however, this should be balanced against the need for worldwide food security. Earlier research study has actually estimated that 48% of the international population is fed with crops grown with artificial fertilizers, and the worlds population is anticipated to grow by 20% by 2050.
The Cambridge researchers say that a combination of scalable technological and policy solutions is needed to decrease fertilizer emissions while preserving food security. Nevertheless, they approximate that if such options could be carried out at scale, the emissions from manure and synthetic fertilizers could be decreased by as much as 80%, to one-fifth of current levels, without a loss of productivity. Their results were reported on February 9 in the journal Nature Food.
” Incredibly, we do not actually know how lots of chemicals we produce globally, where they wind up, where and how they accumulate, how many emissions they produce, and how much waste they generate,” said co-author Dr. André Cabrera Serrenho from Cambridges Department of Engineering.
Serrenho and his co-author Yunhu Gao carried out a job to precisely determine the overall impacts of fertilizers, among the 2 primary products of the petrochemical market. Of all the items made by the petrochemical industry, the large bulk– as much as 74%– are either fertilizers or plastics.
” In order to lower emissions, its important for us to recognize and focus on any interventions we can make to make fertilizers less harmful to the environment,” stated Serrenho. “But if were going to do that, we first require to have a clear image of the entire lifecycle of these products. It sounds obvious, however we in fact understand extremely little about these things.”
The researchers mapped the international flows of manure and synthetic fertilizers and their emissions for 2019, along all stages of the lifecycle, by fixing up the production and consumption of nitrogen fertilizers and regional emission factors across 9 world regions.
After finishing their analysis, the researchers found that, unlike many other products, the majority of emissions for fertilizers happen not during production, but during their usage.
” It was surprising that this was the major source of emissions,” said Serrenho. “But only after quantifying all emissions, at every point of the lifecycle, can we then start looking at various mitigation approaches to decrease emissions without a loss of performance.”
The scientists listed and measured the maximum theoretical effect of different mitigation techniques– many of these are already understood, however their optimal prospective result had not been measured.
Emissions from the production of artificial fertilizers are mostly from ammonia synthesis, partly due to chemical reactions used in the production process. The most efficient mitigation at the production stage would be for the market to decarbonize heating and hydrogen production. In addition, fertilizers could be combined with chemicals called nitrification inhibitors, which avoid germs from forming laughing gas. Nevertheless, these chemicals are likely to make fertilizers more expensive.
” If were going to make fertilizers more expensive, then there needs to be some sort of monetary incentive to farmers and to fertilizer business,” said Serrenho. “Farming is an exceptionally tough business as it is, and farmers arent currently rewarded for producing lower emissions.”
The single most reliable method to decrease fertilizer-associated emissions, however, would be to lower the amount of fertilizers that we utilize. If we used fertilizer more effectively, we would need substantially less fertilizer, which would reduce emissions without impacting crop performance.”
The scientists likewise looked at the mix of fertilizers utilized around the globe, which differs by region. The researchers state that changing a few of the fertilizers with the highest emissions, such as urea, with ammonium nitrate worldwide could further reduce emissions by in between 20% and 30%. Nevertheless, this would only be useful after decarbonizing the fertilizer market.
Possibly that means paying farmers to produce less emissions, maybe that implies paying more for food. We need to find the ideal mix of monetary, technological, and policy options to lower emissions while keeping the world fed.”
Serrenho and Gao approximate that by executing all the mitigations they analyzed, emissions from the fertilizer sector could be decreased by as much as 80% by 2050.
” Our work gives us a great concept of whats technically possible, whats big, and where interventions would be significant– its important that we intend interventions at what matters the most, in order to make meaningful and quick development in decreasing emissions,” stated Serrenho.
Recommendation: “Greenhouse gas emissions from nitrogen fertilizers could be reduced by up to one-fifth of existing levels by 2050 with combined interventions” by Yunhu Gao and André Cabrera Serrenho, 9 February 2023, Nature Food.DOI: 10.1038/ s43016-023-00698-w.
The research belonged to the C-THRU job, led by Professor Jonathan Cullen, where scientists from 4 UK and US Universities are working to bring clearness to the emissions from the global petrochemical supply chain.

Researchers at the University of Cambridge have measured how much carbon is produced by fertilizers from the starting to the end of their life cycle. They discovered that by the year 2050, it might be possible to minimize carbon emissions from fertilizers to only one-fifth of what they are now.
Researchers have actually calculated the carbon footprint for the complete life process of fertilizers, which are accountable for roughly 5 percent of total greenhouse gas emissions– the very first time this has been properly quantified– and discovered that carbon emissions might be reduced to one-fifth of existing levels by 2050.
The researchers, from the University of Cambridge, found that two-thirds of emissions from fertilizers take location after they are spread out on fields, with one-third of emissions coming from production processes.
Nitrogen-based fertilizers are already understood to be a significant source of greenhouse gas emissions, this is the very first time that their total contribution, from production to implementation, has been totally quantified. Their analysis found that manure and synthetic fertilizers release the equivalent of 2.6 gigatonnes of carbon annually– more than international air travel and shipping combined.